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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+3.67vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+5.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.33+1.36vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+3.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+1.14vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+1.41vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.79+6.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+0.22vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.43-2.26vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.44-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.83-2.30vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.25vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-4.92vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-2.99vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-2.13vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.67Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.36Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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14.87Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 26.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.