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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.42vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.45vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+5.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+1.39vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+1.93vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+5.84vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+1.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+0.37vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.33-3.82vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-0.64vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.79+3.24vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-3.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.42vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62+0.46vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.83-4.28vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-6.13vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.27-4.07vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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4.45Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.18Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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14.24Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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15.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 38.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 24.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 7.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.