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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+6.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.20vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+4.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.29vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.62+7.60vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.85vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+0.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.33-4.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83-0.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52+0.20vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.43-5.80vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-6.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.27-3.19vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.43-11.84vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.6Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.46Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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14.05Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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5.16Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.1% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 24.5% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 18.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.