← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.33+4.49vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.82+5.07vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.43+2.04vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.07vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.64-0.65vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.85+4.60vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.38+1.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.08+5.20vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.25+0.06vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.07+0.02vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.49-2.66vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.88vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University0.62+1.45vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.83-3.60vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.03-5.11vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.43-7.48vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.69vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.49Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.07Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.04Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.35Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
10.6Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
8.69Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
13.2University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.06Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
-
10.02Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.34Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
14.45Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
10.4University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
9.89Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.52Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
14.31Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
-
15.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 10.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 23.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 20.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.