← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.82+6.17vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.07+8.13vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.64+1.43vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.43+0.90vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.62+9.46vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.91vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.83+3.75vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.44+0.43vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.82vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.43-1.27vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.33-5.59vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.49-3.43vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.04vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.03-4.20vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.85-4.43vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.08-2.56vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.38vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.38-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.17Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
10.13Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
4.43Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
4.9Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
14.46Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.75University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.43Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.73Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.41Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.57Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
14.04Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.8Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
10.57Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
13.44University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
-
15.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.45Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 23.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Peter Busch | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 10.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 19.6% | 40.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.