← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University-0.38+2.30vs Predicted
-
2Miami University0.95-0.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.14+0.96vs Predicted
-
4University of Chicago-0.08-1.30vs Predicted
-
5University of Saint Thomas-2.16+0.33vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-2.61-0.16vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-2.09-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3Northwestern University-0.3811.9%1st Place
-
1.68Miami University0.9554.6%1st Place
-
3.96University of Michigan-1.147.3%1st Place
-
2.7University of Chicago-0.0819.1%1st Place
-
5.33University of Saint Thomas-2.162.2%1st Place
-
5.84Northwestern University-2.611.8%1st Place
-
5.2Miami University-2.093.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 11.9% | 18.1% | 26.0% | 23.3% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Reed Porter | 54.6% | 29.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 7.3% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 12.8% | 4.2% |
| Holden Higgins | 19.1% | 29.3% | 26.1% | 16.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Brady Boland | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 20.5% | 28.4% | 25.7% |
| Jordan Raizer | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 25.0% | 45.0% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 26.6% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.