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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+2.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+3.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+3.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.93+2.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+0.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+2.67vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68-2.72vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-0.92vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-1.10vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.50-5.07vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.29-5.49vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-4.86vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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6.15Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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5.28Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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5.93Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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13.04Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 22.3% | 9.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 13.1% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 4.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 2.7% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.