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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.34+5.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+2.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.33-2.77vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62+5.61vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-1.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-5.91vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.82-4.72vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.85-2.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-2.50vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.44-6.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.45vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.80vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.08-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.11Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.23Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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14.61Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.5Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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15.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.2Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 17.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 22.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.1% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Peter Busch | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 39.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.