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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+7.36vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.35vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+3.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.34+1.92vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-3.08vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-4.74vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+4.89vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.44-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.27+1.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-3.19vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.22-4.96vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.04vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.79-1.64vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.36vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.50-9.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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4.92Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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4.26Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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14.89Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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13.08University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.81Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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14.36Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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15.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.8% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 23.6% | 25.7% |
| Peter Busch | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 8.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Jed Bell | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 21.5% | 19.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 42.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.