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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.34+7.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+4.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.50+2.63vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+2.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+1.02vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.79+5.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.27+3.25vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07-0.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-3.88vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62+0.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-4.36vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.26vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.43-11.31vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.82-10.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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4.08Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.91Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.02Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.22Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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13.94Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.64Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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14.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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4.69Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.0% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 18.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 8.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 24.2% | 24.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 41.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.