← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ethan Froelich 24.0% 23.8% 20.0% 16.1% 8.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Cannon 9.8% 15.2% 18.4% 19.2% 16.1% 12.2% 5.4% 3.0% 0.7%
Adrian Winkelman 37.1% 25.9% 17.8% 10.2% 6.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 14.4% 16.8% 18.4% 19.1% 15.9% 8.3% 4.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Chase O'Malley 2.5% 4.3% 6.4% 9.1% 12.1% 13.7% 17.7% 16.6% 17.6%
Harry Stevenson 4.2% 4.9% 7.7% 9.8% 14.0% 17.3% 18.3% 15.1% 8.7%
Taylor Snyder 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 6.1% 10.5% 16.5% 18.3% 21.8% 16.5%
Pearce Bragaw 2.3% 2.7% 2.8% 5.3% 9.0% 9.9% 16.6% 21.1% 30.3%
Sebastien Franck 2.4% 3.0% 4.9% 5.1% 7.7% 14.4% 16.6% 20.4% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.