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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+1.87vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.44vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46+3.44vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University1.06-0.37vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.02-2.23vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.49-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.68-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.82-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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2.44Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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6.44Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.63Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.65Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.77University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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6.48University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 24.7% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 32.5% | 26.9% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chase O'Malley | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 17.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 13.9% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 14.1% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 17.5% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 24.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.