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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+1.83vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.45vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+0.70vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.46+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-1.29vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.49-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.82-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Texas1.630.3%1st Place
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2.45Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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3.7Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.28Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.71University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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5.77Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.46University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 25.1% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 32.8% | 26.6% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.7% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 14.0% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 9.2% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 23.0% | 24.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 20.2% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.