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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+1.84vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.46vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+0.71vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.46+2.30vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-1.29vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.49-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.68-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.82-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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2.46Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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3.71Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.3Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.71University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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5.79Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.45University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.77University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 24.9% | 21.6% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 33.0% | 26.3% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.7% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 22.5% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 13.9% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 9.7% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 16.4% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 25.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.