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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.63+0.94vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46+3.47vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.28vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.49+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.24vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University1.06-4.25vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.82-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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2.94University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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6.47Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.72University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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5.64Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.42University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.75Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 35.4% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Froelich | 20.6% | 26.5% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Chase O'Malley | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 14.3% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 17.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 21.8% | 23.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 14.8% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.