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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+2.79vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University1.06+1.81vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00-0.65vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.63-2.20vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.46+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.49-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.82-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.68-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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3.81Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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2.35Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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5.7Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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2.8University of Texas1.630.3%1st Place
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6.36Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.45University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 13.4% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.5% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 35.4% | 25.9% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
| Ethan Froelich | 25.9% | 25.2% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 16.6% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 31.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.