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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+1.85vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.42vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas-0.49+1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.82+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.17vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.11-2.20vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.46-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Texas1.630.3%1st Place
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2.42Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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3.69Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.73University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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6.31University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.8Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.4Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 25.5% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 32.6% | 27.1% | 20.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 18.2% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 23.0% | 28.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 25.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 9.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.