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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.14+1.95vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.95-1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.08-1.33vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.09+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-2.16-0.66vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.61-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Northwestern University-0.3810.9%1st Place
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3.95University of Michigan-1.146.2%1st Place
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1.65Miami University0.9556.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Chicago-0.0820.0%1st Place
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5.26Miami University-2.092.8%1st Place
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5.34University of Saint Thomas-2.162.5%1st Place
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5.82Northwestern University-2.611.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 10.9% | 19.4% | 25.9% | 24.3% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| River Servia | 6.2% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 25.4% | 22.1% | 11.8% | 3.8% |
| Reed Porter | 56.1% | 27.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Holden Higgins | 20.0% | 29.9% | 24.9% | 15.9% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 29.4% | 23.8% |
| Brady Boland | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 23.3% | 27.8% | 25.4% |
| Jordan Raizer | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.