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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.63+1.83vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.45vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas-0.49+2.37vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11+0.68vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.46+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.02-3.20vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.82-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.68-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Texas1.630.3%1st Place
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2.45Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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3.73Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.37University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.68Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.39Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.8University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 26.0% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 32.0% | 27.5% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 13.1% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 10.1% |
| Chase O'Malley | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 16.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 13.5% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 29.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.