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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.46+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+1.95vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Texas1.63-1.22vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University1.06-1.36vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.82+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.49-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.68-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.95University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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2.34Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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2.78University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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3.64Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.73Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.42University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 16.9% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.2% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 36.1% | 25.3% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Froelich | 24.3% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 14.6% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 8.5% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 22.7% | 30.1% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.