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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.63+0.98vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+0.69vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.46+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-1.29vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.49-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.82-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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2.98University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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3.69Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.28Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.71University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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5.78Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.45University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 35.8% | 25.6% | 19.5% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Froelich | 21.7% | 24.0% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 13.3% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 13.9% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 24.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 22.8% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.