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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.46+5.41vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University1.06+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Texas1.63-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.82+1.86vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.49+0.43vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-1.21vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00-5.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.68-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.85Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Texas1.630.2%1st Place
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3.67University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.43University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.79Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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2.38Northeastern University2.000.4%1st Place
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6.78University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 11.7% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Froelich | 24.2% | 24.9% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 13.7% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 29.4% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 17.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 35.6% | 26.3% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.