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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+2.79vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+0.46vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+0.71vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.63-2.21vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.49+0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.82+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.68-1.27vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.46-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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2.46Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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3.71Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.7Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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2.79University of Texas1.630.3%1st Place
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6.4University of North Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.37Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 13.2% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 31.8% | 26.8% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 13.0% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% |
| Ethan Froelich | 27.0% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Snyder | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 29.7% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 25.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.