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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+1.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.06+0.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.43vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.07-0.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.88-2.54vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
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3.33Tufts University0.930.2%1st Place
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3.16University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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4.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.96Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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3.46Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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5.8University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 26.1% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 18.7% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Thomas Johnson | 19.5% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 21.1% | 12.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 27.5% | 22.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 4.0% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.