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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+2.33vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+0.89vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.07+1.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.93vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.88-2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.06-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Tufts University0.930.2%1st Place
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2.89Boston University1.250.2%1st Place
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4.93Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.93University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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3.44Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 19.3% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 23.6% | 22.7% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Sean Crandall | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 22.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 23.6% | 11.9% |
| Henry Poynter | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 54.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 16.8% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 22.8% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.