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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+2.11vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.95-0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.14+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.66-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-2.16+0.31vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.61-0.24vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.09-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Northwestern University-0.3812.6%1st Place
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1.56Miami University0.9560.6%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan-1.146.9%1st Place
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3.27University of Chicago-0.6611.8%1st Place
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5.31University of Saint Thomas-2.162.6%1st Place
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5.76Northwestern University-2.612.2%1st Place
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5.17Miami University-2.093.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 12.6% | 24.6% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Reed Porter | 60.6% | 26.8% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 6.9% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 25.5% | 19.0% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Natalie Manley | 11.8% | 21.2% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Brady Boland | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 21.7% | 27.7% | 25.9% |
| Jordan Raizer | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 45.1% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 28.1% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.