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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+2.31vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.88+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.82+2.89vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.07+0.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.06-2.83vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Tufts University0.930.2%1st Place
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3.46Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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5.89University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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2.77Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 20.5% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 15.6% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 55.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 27.9% | 21.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 13.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 19.3% | 22.5% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 27.0% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.