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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+1.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.06+0.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93-0.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.09vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
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4.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University0.930.2%1st Place
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3.49Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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5.91University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.78Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 26.7% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 13.3% |
| Thomas Johnson | 20.3% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| Blake Vogel | 18.7% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 15.1% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 55.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 28.2% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.