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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+2.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+0.84vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.88+0.45vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.07+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.06-1.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Tufts University0.930.2%1st Place
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2.84Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
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3.45Northeastern University0.880.2%1st Place
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4.96Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Rhode Island1.060.2%1st Place
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4.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.78University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 19.5% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 25.1% | 22.9% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 16.8% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 28.2% | 21.5% |
| Thomas Johnson | 20.1% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 12.8% |
| Henry Poynter | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.