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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.01+1.07vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69-0.42vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60-0.45vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.65-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.010.3%1st Place
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1.58Fairfield University0.690.6%1st Place
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2.55Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.81Wesleyan University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Fairfax | 28.5% | 40.2% | 27.4% | 3.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 55.8% | 31.5% | 12.0% | 0.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 15.0% | 24.4% | 51.3% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 0.7% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.