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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.01+0.08vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60-0.43vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.65-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Fairfield University0.690.6%1st Place
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2.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.010.3%1st Place
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2.57Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.8Wesleyan University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 56.6% | 33.1% | 9.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Fairfax | 27.6% | 39.4% | 30.5% | 2.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 14.8% | 23.8% | 51.2% | 10.2% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 1.0% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.