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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+0.56vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.60+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.01-0.91vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.65-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Fairfield University0.690.6%1st Place
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2.54Williams College-0.600.2%1st Place
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2.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.010.3%1st Place
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3.81Wesleyan University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 57.6% | 30.4% | 10.6% | 1.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 15.3% | 22.8% | 54.1% | 7.8% |
| Charlie Fairfax | 26.1% | 43.0% | 26.9% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 1.0% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 86.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.