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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.66+1.89vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.38+0.76vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.95-1.55vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.09+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-2.16-0.51vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.61-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Chicago-0.6612.3%1st Place
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2.76Northwestern University-0.3813.9%1st Place
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1.45Miami University0.9566.3%1st Place
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4.45Miami University-2.092.9%1st Place
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4.49University of Saint Thomas-2.162.9%1st Place
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4.97Northwestern University-2.611.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Manley | 12.3% | 26.8% | 31.9% | 19.7% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| George Warfel | 13.9% | 30.8% | 30.0% | 17.1% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Reed Porter | 66.3% | 24.6% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 2.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 24.2% | 29.1% | 25.1% |
| Brady Boland | 2.9% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 22.9% | 30.6% | 25.5% |
| Jordan Raizer | 1.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 25.5% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.