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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.41+2.90vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.01+5.68vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.01+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.20+1.03vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.68-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.23+1.66vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.31-4.30vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.73-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.09-1.51vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-0.93-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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7.68Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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5.7Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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9.39Western Washington University-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.59Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 19.5% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 18.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Avey | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Lauren McClintock | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| John Kish | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 36.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Zoe Plattner | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 31.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.