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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.20+6.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.01+0.86vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.68+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.23+4.63vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-1.87vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-1.25vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.73-0.48vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.31-5.47vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.09-1.54vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-0.93-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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8.17University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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6.56Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.75Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.52Western Washington University-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.53Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.59Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 18.8% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.9% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| John Kish | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 34.7% |
| Emily Avey | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Zoe Plattner | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 31.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.