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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.41+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.43+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.48+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.01-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.20+2.09vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.68-0.38vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.31-2.37vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-1.30vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.93-2.61vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.73-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.23-1.26vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.09-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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6.21University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.63Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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7.7Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.39Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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9.39Western Washington University-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 18.5% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 19.0% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Liam Brinton | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Zoe Plattner | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| John Kish | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 37.3% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.