← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.01+3.89vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.41+1.92vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-0.46+3.18vs Predicted
-
4Oregon State University-0.31+1.71vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.68+1.65vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.48+0.10vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.43-3.15vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-0.93-0.58vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-1.73+0.59vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-1.01-2.36vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-1.12-3.24vs Predicted
-
12University of Oregon-2.23-1.21vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon-2.09-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.92Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
-
6.18University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.71Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
-
6.65Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
-
6.1University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.85University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
-
7.42Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
-
9.59Western Washington University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.64Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
7.76University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.5University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.1% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 19.7% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Zoe Plattner | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Kahle | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| John Kish | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 21.2% | 37.3% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 22.9% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.