← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.43+2.86vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.41+1.89vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University-0.31+2.77vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.01+0.88vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-1.01+2.54vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-1.73+3.53vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-0.48-0.95vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-0.46-1.85vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-2.09+1.39vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.68-3.31vs Predicted
-
11Oregon State University-0.93-3.73vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-1.12-3.85vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon-2.23-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.86University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
-
3.89Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
-
5.77Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
-
4.88University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
-
7.54Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
-
9.53Western Washington University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.05University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
-
6.15University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
-
10.39University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
-
6.69Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
-
7.27Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
-
8.15University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
-
10.82University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 19.8% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 18.5% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Brinton | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Zoe Plattner | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Avey | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 22.0% | 30.3% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Kahle | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| John Kish | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 21.8% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.