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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01+2.86vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+0.90vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.68+2.75vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.31+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.09+3.19vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.20-0.75vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.01-2.37vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.73-1.56vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-0.93-4.42vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.23-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.6Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.63Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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9.44Western Washington University-1.730.0%1st Place
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7.58Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 19.0% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Liam Brinton | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 22.8% | 27.7% |
| Emily Avey | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Zoe Plattner | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 14.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| John Kish | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.