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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-0.14+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+1.45vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+1.63vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.79+3.05vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.48+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.60+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.38+1.41vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.15-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.04-4.40vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.50-3.85vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.99-3.27vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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4.63Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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7.05Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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8.78Oregon State University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.87Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Washington0.040.1%1st Place
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6.15Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.73Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Murphy | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 21.7% | 22.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 15.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Paul Schreiner | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 25.8% |
| Henry Stier | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 19.1% |
| Marty Weigel | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
| Peter Kelleher | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.