← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.08+3.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.62+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University-1.63+5.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.04+0.39vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.94+1.55vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.63-0.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-0.14-2.48vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-1.38-0.56vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.99-2.25vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.60-4.40vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-2.38-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.04University of Washington0.620.3%1st Place
-
8.22Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
-
4.39University of Washington0.040.1%1st Place
-
6.55University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
-
5.87Western Washington University-0.630.1%1st Place
-
4.52University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
-
7.44University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.75Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
-
5.6University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
-
9.36Western Washington University-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 27.0% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 21.9% |
| Peter Kelleher | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Soren Althoff | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 11.1% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 6.4% |
| Henry Stier | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Piper Easton | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.