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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.08+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.14+2.94vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.79+3.75vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.60+2.28vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.50+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.04-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-3.89vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.63+0.40vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.99-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.94-3.22vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Washington0.040.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Washington0.620.3%1st Place
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8.4Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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7.11Western Washington University-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
| Henry Stier | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Peter Kelleher | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 27.9% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 33.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.