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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.08+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.04+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.14+2.15vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.79+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.60+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.94-0.23vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.63+0.42vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.50-3.12vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.99-3.07vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Washington0.040.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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6.76Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Washington0.620.3%1st Place
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6.1University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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8.42Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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5.88Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.93Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Peter Kelleher | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Murphy | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 25.7% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Henry Stier | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 33.3% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 10.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.