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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.08+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.60+4.13vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.04+0.69vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.50+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.14-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.94-0.19vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.63-1.92vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.63-0.38vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.99-3.04vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington0.040.1%1st Place
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5.88Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Oregon-0.140.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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6.08Western Washington University-0.630.1%1st Place
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8.62Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.96Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Henry Stier | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 22.3% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Kelleher | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Dylan Murphy | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Soren Althoff | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 36.3% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.