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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.32+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.34+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.93+0.69vs Predicted
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5-1.01-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.4%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Davis-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Santa Cruz-0.340.1%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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4.8-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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6.38University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 40.3% | 27.8% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 13.7% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Ethan ? | 14.6% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 5.8% |
| SCYC 1 | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 6.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 20.2% | 48.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 28.9% | 34.2% |
| Jack Zemke | 13.0% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.