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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.34+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.93+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-0.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.32-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-1.10vs Predicted
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6-1.01-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-0.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.340.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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2.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.4%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Davis-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.78-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan ? | 14.4% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 6.4% |
| Colin Olson | 40.6% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 13.5% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Jack Zemke | 10.6% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| SCYC 1 | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 6.8% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 20.8% | 52.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 29.4% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.