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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.93+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.32+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-0.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+2.80vs Predicted
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5-1.01-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.34-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Davis-0.320.1%1st Place
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2.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.4%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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4.85-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Cruz-0.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Brees | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 5.8% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 14.0% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Colin Olson | 40.2% | 26.3% | 17.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 23.6% | 48.3% |
| SCYC 1 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 5.8% |
| Jack Zemke | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 28.2% | 35.0% |
| Ethan ? | 15.1% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.