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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+1.88vs Predicted
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3-1.01+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.34-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.32-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.93-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.4%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.78-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Santa Cruz-0.340.1%1st Place
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3.67University of California at Davis-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.4University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 42.2% | 25.9% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| SCYC 1 | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 6.7% |
| Ethan ? | 12.8% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 12.6% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 8.7% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 6.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 25.9% | 36.8% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 25.1% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.