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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.32+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.34+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.93+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-2.79vs Predicted
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6-1.01-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-3.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of California at Davis-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Santa Cruz-0.340.1%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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2.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.4%1st Place
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4.79-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 14.8% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Ethan ? | 14.1% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 21.7% | 49.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 5.8% |
| Colin Olson | 39.8% | 26.3% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| SCYC 1 | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 7.2% |
| Jack Zemke | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 28.7% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.