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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.34+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.22vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.32+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-0.11vs Predicted
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5-1.01-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.93-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.340.1%1st Place
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2.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.4%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Davis-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.81-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan ? | 13.8% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Colin Olson | 39.8% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 14.9% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Jack Zemke | 12.3% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| SCYC 1 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 5.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 26.9% | 36.4% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 24.7% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.