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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.32+0.35vs Predicted
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4-1.01+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.93-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.5%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Davis-0.320.2%1st Place
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4.53-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.12University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 45.1% | 28.4% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 16.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| SCYC 1 | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 45.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 6.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 26.9% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.